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Free weekly research · NFL 2026

Where every defense breaks: Week 4

Every defense’s softest spot on this week’s slate, ranked against all 32, with the consensus line. Brief on purpose: open any game in Vantage for the full read.

  • 16 games · Thu Oct 1 to Mon Oct 5
  • Ranks through Week 3
  • Lines updated Mon 8:04 PM ET
Biggest mismatchIND −5 · O/U 46.5

Colts at Commanders

Sun 9:30 AM ET

The Colts defense ranks in the league’s softest 8 on 18 of 24 stats, the most of any defense on this week’s slate. Its softest spots: RB rushing TDs allowed (1.33 a game, 2nd softest) and points allowed per run (+0.09, 2nd softest). Across the field, the Commanders defense is toughest at RB rushing TDs allowed (0.00 a game, 1st stingiest).

Templated read
Colts defense gives up the most
RB rushing TDs allowed 1.33 a game2nd
Points allowed per run +0.092nd
Commanders defense is toughest at
RB rushing TDs allowed 0.00 a game1st
Read Colts at Commanders

Every game

Each defense’s softest spot, ranked against all 32.

  • Thu 8:15 PM ETPlayedPIT −3 · O/U 38

    Steelers at Browns

    Browns defense gives up the most
    TDs allowed to WRs 1.67 a game3rd
    Steelers defense gives up the most
    RB receiving yards allowed 37 a game9th
    Read the matchup: Steelers at Browns
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedARI −2.5 · O/U 44

    Cardinals at Giants

    Giants defense gives up the most
    Rarely pressures the QB 11%1st
    Cardinals defense gives up the most
    TDs allowed to WRs 2.00 a game1st
    Read the matchup: Cardinals at Giants
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedHOU −3 · O/U 48.5

    Cowboys at Texans

    Texans defense gives up the most
    Big plays allowed 17%1st
    Cowboys defense gives up the most
    QB rushing yards allowed 59 a game1st
    Read the matchup: Cowboys at Texans
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedGB −3 · O/U 39

    Packers at Buccaneers

    Buccaneers defense gives up the most
    Catches allowed to RBs 6.3 a game1st
    Packers defense gives up the most
    RB rushing TDs allowed 2.00 a game1st
    Read the matchup: Packers at Buccaneers
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedCIN −2.5 · O/U 52

    Jaguars at Bengals

    Bengals defense gives up the most
    RB receiving yards allowed 47 a game1st
    Jaguars defense gives up the most
    RB receiving yards allowed 41 a game5th
    Read the matchup: Jaguars at Bengals
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedLAR −3.5 · O/U 43

    Rams at Eagles

    Eagles defense gives up the most
    Rarely pressures the QB 14%2nd
    Rams defense gives up the most
    Catches allowed to RBs 6.0 a game2nd
    Read the matchup: Rams at Eagles
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedBUF −7 · O/U 49.5

    Patriots at Bills

    Bills defense gives up the most
    Catches allowed to RBs 6.0 a game2nd
    Patriots defense gives up the most
    Rarely stops runs at the line 7%1st
    Read the matchup: Patriots at Bills
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedCHI −3.5 · O/U 43.5

    Jets at Bears

    Bears defense gives up the most
    Yards per carry allowed 5.12nd
    Jets defense gives up the most
    Rarely stops runs at the line 10%3rd
    Read the matchup: Jets at Bears
  • Sun 1:00 PM ETPlayedBAL −11.5 · O/U 42.5

    Titans at Ravens

    Ravens defense gives up the most
    Catches allowed to WRs 14.7 a game2nd
    Titans defense gives up the most
    Throws completed above normal +9.5%2nd
    Read the matchup: Titans at Ravens
  • Sun 4:05 PM ETPlayedMIN −10 · O/U 38.5

    Dolphins at Vikings

    Vikings defense gives up the most
    Passing yards allowed 265 a game7th
    Dolphins defense gives up the most
    Points allowed per pass play +0.471st
    Read the matchup: Dolphins at Vikings
  • Sun 4:25 PM ETPlayedSF −3 · O/U 48.5

    Broncos at 49ers

    49ers defense gives up the most
    Runs that work 51%1st
    Broncos defense gives up the most
    Points allowed per run +0.161st
    Read the matchup: Broncos at 49ers
  • Sun 4:25 PM ETPlayedKC −4.5 · O/U 47.5

    Chiefs at Raiders

    Raiders defense gives up the most
    TDs allowed to TEs 1.67 a game2nd
    Chiefs defense gives up the most
    Rarely pressures the QB 17%4th
    Read the matchup: Chiefs at Raiders
  • Sun 4:25 PM ETPlayedSEA −7 · O/U 42.5

    Chargers at Seahawks

    Seahawks defense gives up the most
    TDs allowed to TEs 0.67 a game7th
    Chargers defense gives up the most
    RB rushing TDs allowed 0.67 a game9th
    Read the matchup: Chargers at Seahawks
  • Sun 8:20 PM ETPlayedDET −4.5 · O/U 52

    Lions at Panthers

    Panthers defense gives up the most
    Yards per carry allowed 5.71st
    Lions defense gives up the most
    Passing yards allowed 326 a game1st
    Read the matchup: Lions at Panthers
  • Mon 8:15 PM ETPlayedNO −1 · O/U 47.5

    Falcons at Saints

    Saints defense gives up the most
    RB rushing TDs allowed 1.33 a game2nd
    Falcons defense gives up the most
    WR receiving yards allowed 201 a game1st
    Read the matchup: Falcons at Saints

Ranks over each defense’s closed regular-season games before the week. Lines are the median across books. 21+ where betting is legal. Research, not betting advice.