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Matchup research · Interactive demo

How does Buffalo’s offense meet Houston’s defense?

Efficiency and context from both sides of the matchup.

Real historical data · No account needed · Context, not a forecast

A pregame view, preserved

BUF at HOU

Week 1, 2026 · Kickoff Sep 13, 2026 ET
Historical example

Offense to examine
BUF offense · EPA / play0.142

2025 season, 17 games
Higher means more offensive value per play.

HOU defense · EPA allowed / play−0.139

2025 season, 17 games
Lower means less value allowed per play.

Read the offense’s production beside the defense’s results allowed. These describe separate historical samples; they are not a predicted game score.

MeasureBUF offenseHOU defense
EPA / play0.142−0.139 allowed
Success rate48.9%38.0% allowed
Sample games1717
What the numbers mean and where they come from
Expected points added (EPA)
The change in expected points associated with a play. Offensive EPA measures value gained; defensive EPA allowed measures value conceded.
Success rate
The share of plays with positive EPA. The defensive column shows the success rate allowed to opponents.
BUF sample
2025 season, 17 games. 17 prior-season games and 0 current-season games.
HOU sample
2025 season, 17 games. 17 prior-season games and 0 current-season games.

The 2025 season option uses the prior regular season. Recent windows include the captured season-ending games, including playoffs. Data as of Jan 18, 2026 ET.

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